Sunday, July 1, 2018

Antitrust Laws, Mergers and Reality


Abstract

Mergers have grown in number and magnitude in recent decades, exponentially increasing the work of the Department of Justice in depth & width bringing previously unknown frontiers etcetera for example the ability to recognize monopolization tactics dressed up as economies of scale in a merger proposals and other colorful ways, industry players trying to circumvent laws for capital gains all in a bid to fight antitrust laws. The Antitrust Law, which is the weapon of choice in the D.O.J.’s quiver, in the late 19th century, the first antitrust was enacted, the financial profits and actions of  21st century’s firms were inconceivable. With consumer protection foremost on its focus and subsequent direction. Clearly in some instances a sizable number of firms’ practices have caused increases in market concentration leading to either a decline in competition(negative) or a rise in economies of scale(positive). This paper reviews successes and failures of antitrust laws’ handling of mergers in U.S. with regards to failed merger attempts, existing mergers especially those that should not exist.










Introduction

Oligopoly
It is market model where there is more than one market player, yet where each firm is large enough to affect selling price as there are a small number of firms in this market that has substantial barriers to entry for other firms, hence very limited entry. It is closer to reality than most other models/theories describing market, for example Perfect Market, even Monopolies (Gruber, 2010). Predominant examples of oligopolies are the automobile, phone, soft drink, airplane manufacturing industry etcetera. Oligopoly comes in two kinds- A. Pure oligopoly- includes organizations that produce homogenous products/services like the steel industry, the only source of power for such companies is lack of competition. B. Impure oligopoly- is also lacking in competition but offers differentiated products/services, which are the sources of power for these organizations. Oligopoly’s two patterns are, first when firms within the industry cooperate and decide outcomes through “predetermined” amount to produce or supply and through pricing as well, this is also known as a Cartel prominent example is O.P.E.C. these actions are intself illegal. The other behavior being, firms in an oligopoly behaving non-cooperatively, this covers most oligopolistic industries as these firms compete; those can be explained with Game Theory. Though despite the power(s), oligopolies still must worry about competitors and competitor’s actions.
Duopoly is a heightened version of oligopoly with less organizations in the industry, that is; just two organizations. Sometimes, it is instigated by the two dominating organizations, either by buying smaller organizations (vertical mergers), absorbing or shutting these firms down or edging them out (predatory pricing, dumping etcetera) or consolidations of various firms until there are a few remaining and with continued actions down this path, until there are only two left. Note, it could start with horizontal mergers that became big enough to achieve the above. Perfect example of duopoly is the airplanes manufacturing market dominated by Airbus and Boeing.

The afore mentioned types of market are present in this topic of focus, these market structures can evolve over various lengths of time. Oligopoly and Duopoly both result in a negative position for end-users as consumers are at the whim of these dominating firm(s) and it may become nearly impossible for new competitors to break into the industry (Glen, 2013). And since there is scant of the industry left to compete, new entrants rarely succeed (“Oligopoly, What Is”, n.d.).

According to Milgrom and Roberts, asymmetric information plays a central role in explaining anticompetitive practices such as limit and predatory pricings in the theory of oligopoly (as cited by Bonatti, Cisternas & Toikka, 2016, Pp1)
In this market, there are different Oligopoly Models, and these are;
1.     “Cournot Model: the firms produce the same good, and they choose the production quantity simultaneously.
2.     Stackelberg Model: the firms produce the same.
3.     Bertrand Model: the firms produce the same good, and they choose the price” (Chia-Hui, 2007).
  



Historical Trends

From the Salt Commission (China Late 1st century), to Thorn and Taxis Mail (Italy, Late 15th century), to Dutch East-Indian Company (Early 17th century), to De Beers (S.A. Late 19th century), to Standard Oil, to The American Sugar Refining Company, to US Steel (U.S. Early 20th century) (Selwyn=Holmes, 2009) there have been dominant firms and nations in some industries calling the shots, but the 2nd half of the 20th century has seen the rise many markets increasingly churning out oligopolies -turned-duopolies even later turned “multi-firm” monopolizing monopolies; for all intents and purposes, they can be defined as Oligopolies but these firms wield monopoly-like grip/power on the various markets or at least they are working towards it. There are policies meant to mitigate the amassing of power by some firms at the detriment of others especially consumers. In the eventuality of some of these firms achieving the amassing of significant market power, the department of justice seeks throughs courts etcetera to return the industry to competitive capacity.

What Antitrust policies do:
Antitrust laws seek to prohibit anticompetitive behavior and unfair business practices while encouraging competition in the marketplace” (Kilingsworth, 2010).
 The antitrust laws proscribe unlawful mergers and business practices in general terms, leaving courts to decide which ones are illegal based on the facts of each case” (“FTC: The Antitrust Laws”, n.d.). 
Market power is a separate element of the offense under U.S. antitrust law; with a couple of refinements, U.S. antitrust law makes it illegal to cause an increase in market power by conduct that is not competition on the merits. For this purpose, competition on the merits means conduct that on balance increases output. Conduct can increase output by reducing costs or (quality-adjusted) prices or by increasing product quality or diversity and thereby shifting the demand curve to the right” (Melamed, 2017).

The Laws

Federal antitrust laws:
The Sherman Antitrust Act: it criminalizes the monopolization of interstate commerce, outlaws unreasonable restrain on foreign trade or restrains on competition through the fixing of prices, bids etcetera. Though the highest court in the US has interpreted and restricted restraint of trade to mean “only restrains that are unreasonable” (Kilinsworth)
The Clayton Act: prohibits mergers that restrain competition without the criminalization element of The Sherman Act. Mergers of a certain high amount requires notification of the Antitrust Division and Federal Trade Commission. It lists other prohibited conducts not specified under Sherman for example, tying agreement, dealing exclusively, price discrimination etcetera.
The Federal Trade Commission Act: “This Act prohibits unfair methods of competition in interstate commerce but carries no criminal penalties. It also created the Federal Trade Commission to police violations of the Act” (Antitrust Laws and You”, 2017).
The Robinson-Patman Act AKA AntiPrice Discrimination Act, Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act (upgrades of the Clayton Act between 1914-2000) etcetera.
Though the antitrust law started as far back as 1890-1 in the US, with the most prominent of the earliest moves being initiated by the Department Of Justice (D.O.J.), through courts in 1910s, 1920s and 1930s resulting in big advances in modern corporation’s competitive behavior and in economic theory, though the D.O.J. actions did not all end in wins, in the various bids to curb flagrant economic abuse done by dominant firm(s); actions like price fixing, untoward trade activities, tie-in sales, group boycotts, patent restriction, price discrimination and exclusive dealing which undermined free competition (Brodley, 1967).
Decades down the line, with more innovative ways surfacing, government through the D.O.J. has increasingly found more colorful ways to go on the offensive to try to curb these anti-competitive practices of various firms, for example the Kodak Eastman 1921 Consent Decree which prevented the monopolistic practices of Kodak in the amateur photography industry (Beckett, 2014) or 8 years earlier the Kingsbury Commitment with AT&T.
One crucial aspect of any antitrust action is, establishing the proposed merger action will be promoting anti-competitiveness in its conduct, another aspect is the D.O.J.’s determination of the relevant market in which to analyze complained-of conduct (Manne & Rinehart, 2013).
Argumentatively, according to Crandall and Elzinga using the Safeway, GM, Blue Chip Stamp, Kodak, AT&T, United Shoe Machinery, Std, Oil of California, IBM, United Fruit and Jerrold case(s); the Sherman-Act-gladiator-reputation has not been earned, as conduct remedies (stopping anticompetitive behavior) seem to be happening more often than structural relief. Stating that generally, behavioral relief has had no consequences outside the cost of litigation and compliance to these firms and at times may have reduced consumer welfare (2016).
In 1981 under the Reagan administration, the government inadvertently created cartels through the Voluntary Export Restrain (V.E.R.), this was during recession, in a bid to avoid imposing a quota, the Japanese automobile sellers were then suggestively asked to initiate a reduction in cars being brought into the U.S., this immediately led to a cartelization among Japanese automobile companies exporting to the U.S. for one it led to a reduction in Japanese cars available in the U.S. which drove up demand and then drove up prices, hence giving the Japanese a cartel enforcing device for which the U.S. consumers bore the brunt. (Gruber). There have been some off-target shots taken by government and later redressed which sometimes undermine the strength and togetherness of the antitrust pursuits by the D.O.J. for example The Virginia State Bar Association, which is a not for profit that caters to people of the same profession and a public service sector entity, was found guilty of various anticompetitive practices.

Mergers
This allows the number of firms in an industry to shrink. It is by and large allowed by the government except those that are investigated by government and deemed unfit to merge.
Though sometimes mergers are discouraged, Department of Justice needs to know if the savings from economies of scales is larger than the cost of increasing merged firms’ market power. And in some cases, increasing the market power of a firm through merger could increase competition in the field.
Despite the current global economic hardships, oligopolies are experiencing record high profits, which means they have the money to fund judicial battles and walk away unscatted even with the steep the fines. Which does not affect them like it ought to have, also counting times of back-breaking dues for example The Shell BP Corporation, that was fined billion to clean Gulf oil spill, yet the organization did not go under Knight, 2018)

Reasons for Merger- Debunked
Economies of Scale- Multiple competing firms in the same industry, producing inefficiently that is, at a loss and running at below capacity. For example, Beth Israel and Deaconess in Boston used the “economies of scale” defense in 2010 but the hospitals kept their infrastructure and operations the same and just charged more, making the merger approval wrong or at least doubtful in retrospect.
To top it off for the healthcare industry in Boston, recently Lahey hospitals announced further-merger proposal covering thirteen major hospitals in Boston which Lahey said, “would create a health network to compete with Partners HealthCare” which is relatively predominant in the state of Massachusetts (Ryan, 2018) “Proponents say the merger would benefit patients, but opponents worry it would increase costs and reduce access to health care” (McCluskey, 2018).
Single entity- under Section I of Sherman Act, where a single entity cannot prevent itself from competing or break antitrust laws on itself. In the “Copperweld Corp. v. Independence Tube Corp. (1984) 467 U.S. 752, the Supreme Court "held that a parent corporation and its wholly owned subsidiary were not legally capable of conspiring with each other under section 1 of the Sherman Act” (Williamson, 2006). In American Needle v. NFL, the consideration and defense were that NFL and its teams are a single entity, especially as it concerns exclusive contracts and rights with one apparel company Reebok, under the same section one, which was upheld by the seventh circuit (McCann, 2010).
Marginal Cost reduction can be attained when a merger is allowed; sometimes, this lowers the price. This is untrue, and a defense often used but many times to the detriment of the consumer
It has been found that
1.     Monopoly- is often the eventuality for oligopolies, a plan to create monopoly in the individual industries, in a globalized world, firms are not held back by borders or local restrictions as before, hence monopolizing markets are getting easier. An un-displayed reason for breaking antitrust laws and/or merging is most times in a bid to increase firm’s market power,
2.     There are crippling issues like, no real or enough good data for Department of Justice to investigate and evaluate as the information is controlled by the market.

Merger Gone Wrong:
Even with the clarity in what antitrust laws are and what they are supposed to do, there are ambiguities that are often exploited in its application and courts viewing this in a skewed manner, that is “legal perspective” not from an economic angle which is where the astronomical gains are to be had (Searing, 2013). Even with the clearly sometimes strongly worded 7th Section of the Clayton Act, 5th Section of the Federal Trade Act and Section1 and 2 of the Sherman Act which oversees the with antitrust tendencies, every D.O.J. loss increases the confidence of the overpaid fortune 500 executives and the legal teams to make policies that go against these acts in the hope that courts will rule in the firm’s favor (Chipty & Sendonaris, 2015)
A major example is the Live-Nation and Ticketmaster Merger: The ticketing market was an oligopolistic industry, in which the 2010 merger between the world’s largest promoter (concert), Live Nation and the largest ticket provider, Ticketmaster intensified the monopoly powers of these two companies, unlike the Staples-Office Depot merger that was blocked, the Live Nation-Ticketmaster merger could sail through under the Obama administration.
The merged company Live Nation-Ticketmaster the preceding year to the merger had over 80% of market share. “Post-merger has grown even larger, acquiring other ticket companies, promoters and festivals, including Lollapalooza and Bonnaroo. The company is now worth 9 billion dollars, with record high ticket prices using the promotion aspect of the business to support the ticket side” (“Op-Ed: Everyone’s Worst Fears”, 2018).

Breaking Patterns
One thing to note is that these oligopolies no longer stay in one industry or even one field, their tentacles run far and wide, most of the time leaving the D.O.J. to play “catch-up”. This is reiterated by Tim Wu, a Columbia Law professor and former FTC adviser, when he said, “Today we don’t so much have single companies dominating an entire industry as much as a handful of extremely powerful ones. Over the past few decades, the number of markets consolidated by a few mega-companies has skyrocketed (as cited by Stein, 2016)
A solid example is the ticketing and beer industries, with two companies selling 80% and 75% respectively. The first (Live Nation and TicketMaster) amassed its power through a court approved merger and the second are two foreign companies (Molson Coors and Anheuser Busch).
Wu further stated, last century, antitrust laws were made to mitigate and/or kick against monopolies, today there are between one and four firms dominating, hence the laws are less equipped for the 21st century scenarios.
This is not to expect that Antitrust laws are designed to break up companies that grow large because of its success, or destabilize natural monopolies to bring in competition, or insist on divesture because a large firm became dominant, there are other laws responsible for such. Antitrust laws are to prevents the above listed and others from participating in anticompetitive actions, erection of entry barriers, monopolization,
Can antitrust law be reasonably expected to transition from consumer protection law, to solver of income and wealth inequality, NO. In that light, some cases D.O.J. clamped down on sure seemed that way or at least a waste of tax payers money while D.O.J. groped in the dark; the Bar Association issue comes to mind, because even though they won, it was later redressed, which was not the first time. D.O.J. for all its trials and errors have preemptively blocked some market suffocating antitrust actions by some firms the U.S v. De Beers ending diamond monopolization in the US market with AT&T and Time Warner merger slipping through the fingers of the D.O.J., the antitrust crusaders are preparing the line Comcast & NBC up next (Kosman, 2017).
The constant reviewing and updating of the Acts are the only ways to retain as the 19th-20th century laws will in no way suffice against the maneuvering tactics of today’s markets and firms.











Reference
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